Report: the phase-out of gas and adoption of electric vehicles!

[ChargePoint]

Bloomberg recently released reports that nearly 80 percent of the global auto market is pushing toward phase-out of petroleum cars and adoption of electric vehicles.

Their article suggests that EV sales will overtake internal combustion engines in just over 20 years - sooner than some governments & companies expected!

When do you think EV sales will overtake the internal combustion engine - do these estimates seem possible?

Source: Bloomberg https://bloom.bg/2wLWUce

 

[SparkE]

Germany, France, the U.K., and Norway have all set deadlines for the END of sales of ICE vehicles. Volvo has announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any *new* vehicle with an internal combustion engine (they will, however, continue to sell older models that are ICE after 2019).

The writing is on the wall.

 

[GetOffYourGas]

Volvo has announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any *new* vehicle with an internal combustion engine

No, that's not true. Volvo announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any new vehicle without an electric motor. There is a big difference because a standard (non-plug-in) hybrid has an electric motor, but its sole source of energy is gasoline (even the regen is just recapturing energy that originally came from burning gas).

http://www.npr.org/2017/07/05/53566...n-engine-for-electric-motors-starting-in-2019

The company says all the vehicles it makes will be electric or hybrid starting in 2019.

 

[SeanNelson]

Volvo has announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any *new* vehicle with an internal combustion engine

No, that's not true. Volvo announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any new vehicle without an electric motor.

Exactly!!! I've seen so much mis-reporting on this it's been driving me nuts.

The Volvo announcement isn't what most people seem to think it is - but it's certainly an important step in the right direction.

 

[oilerlord]

The Volvo announcement isn't what most people seem to think it is - but it's certainly an important step in the right direction.

I've received emails from five different people telling me that Volvo isn't going to sell cars that use gasoline anymore - which of course, isn't at all the case. It's amazing on how much Green cred Volvo is picking up from their announcement - perhaps that's largely a result of how their press release is being misinterpreted.

I'd agree with the OP's 20-year timeline, but only to the point that all cars, trucks, buses, and semis will also have an electric motor. As cool as the Tesla Semi looks, the nationwide logistics & timelines of moving freight (especially perishable goods) on battery power alone is a tough challenge.

https://www.wired.com/2017/06/elon-musk-tesla-semi-truck-battery/

 

[IMAdolt]

I'd agree with the OP's 20-year timeline, but only to the point that all cars, trucks, buses, and semis will also have an electric motor. As cool as the Tesla Semi looks, the nationwide logistics & timelines of moving freight (especially perishable goods) on battery power alone is a tough challenge.

https://www.wired.com/2017/06/elon-musk-tesla-semi-truck-battery/

But it's also reasonable to assume road freight can be done in a parallel hybrid way using some generator whether it's a diesel generator turbine/fuel cell/flow battery etc. like the way we've been moving the majority of land freight for most of the last century. That Telsa beast is a bit fanciful and really only "practical" for relatively short reparative jobs, which there is a place for.